MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Gusto.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Brad Lord’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ryan Gusto wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Brad Lord wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Ryan Gusto
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Ryan Gusto
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Ryan Gusto
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Ryan Gusto
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Ryan Gusto
44.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Ryan Gusto
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Ryan Gusto
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.00
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.94
now 1.00
1.31
Ryan Gusto
.9001.94
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4041.80
now 31
26
Ryan Gusto
4041.80
now 4
30
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.60
now 3
14
Ryan Gusto
.0005.60
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
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