MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Ryan Gusto wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Ryan Gusto
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Ryan Gusto
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Ryan Gusto
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Ryan Gusto
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Ryan Gusto
44.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Ryan Gusto
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Ryan Gusto
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.071.84
now 1.28
1.36
Ryan Gusto
1.071.84
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4050.20
now 17
37
Ryan Gusto
4050.20
now 4
30
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Ryan Gusto
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Ryan Gusto
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
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