MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Matt Svanson
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Matt Svanson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Matt Svanson
97.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Matt Svanson
9.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Matt Svanson
21.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Matt Svanson
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Matt Svanson
46.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Matt Svanson
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Matt Svanson
.362
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Matt Svanson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.77
3.80
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9702.23
now 1.28
1.36
Matt Svanson
.9702.23
now 1.95
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4045
now 17
37
Matt Svanson
4045
now 26
26
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Matt Svanson
.0004.20
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Matt Svanson
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeMatt Svanson — hold.conf 0.55
Tweet