Who's more valuable, rest of season
Matt Svanson.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brad Lord’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Matt Svanson wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brad Lord wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Matt Svanson
97.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Matt Svanson
9.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Matt Svanson
21.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Matt Svanson
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Matt Svanson
46.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Matt Svanson
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Matt Svanson
.362
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.00
Matt Svanson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.77
3.80
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9002.33
now 1.00
1.31
Matt Svanson
.9002.33
now 1.95
1.25
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4036.60
now 31
26
Matt Svanson
4036.60
now 26
26
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.60
now 3
1–4
Matt Svanson
.0005.60
now 1
0–1
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeMatt Svanson — hold.conf 0.55