MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brad Lord wins 2 (K, W); Keaton Winn wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Keaton Winn
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Keaton Winn
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Keaton Winn
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Keaton Winn
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Keaton Winn
27.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Keaton Winn
4.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Keaton Winn
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
24.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.01
Keaton Winn
24.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.47
now 1.00
1.31
Keaton Winn
.9001.47
now 0.90
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4036.60
now 31
28
Keaton Winn
4036.60
now 22
20
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.20
now 3
24
Keaton Winn
.0005.20
now 1
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeKeaton Winn — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet