MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Gavin Collyer
Gavin Collyer
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brad Lord wins 2 (K, W); Gavin Collyer wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Gavin Collyer
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Gavin Collyer
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Gavin Collyer
20.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Gavin Collyer
22.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Gavin Collyer
25.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Gavin Collyer
1.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Gavin Collyer
.311
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
2.154.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.01
Gavin Collyer
2.154.54
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.71
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.57
now 1.00
1.31
Gavin Collyer
.9001.57
now 1.41
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4037.40
now 31
28
Gavin Collyer
4037.40
now 15
20
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0005.20
now 3
24
Gavin Collyer
.0005.20
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeGavin Collyer — hold.conf 0.50
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