Rest of Season Projection
LakeCategorySam
46K ←37
3.64ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV0
Current Season
LakeCategorySam
32K ←29
3.77ERA →2.22
1.01WHIP ←1.09
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Lake Bachar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.00)
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.67 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Lake Bachar: 46 K / 3.64 ERA. Sam Bachman: 37 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).