MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Sterner wins 2 (WHIP, W); Lake Bachar wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Lake Bachar
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.5%
Lake Bachar
14.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
22.6%
Lake Bachar
26.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
34.1%
Lake Bachar
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.2%
Lake Bachar
39.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.5%
Lake Bachar
8.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.286
Lake Bachar
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
2.964
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.68
Lake Bachar
2.964
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.19
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
.9101.36
now 1.11
1.24
Lake Bachar
.9101.36
now 1.01
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4037.60
now 26
24
Lake Bachar
4037.60
now 32
30
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0004.20
now 2
13
Lake Bachar
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.87
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