MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Lucas Erceg wins 1 (ERA); Luinder Avila wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lucas Erceg
97.2
Luinder Avila
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lucas Erceg
9.8%
Luinder Avila
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lucas Erceg
14.7%
Luinder Avila
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lucas Erceg
28.0%
Luinder Avila
26.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lucas Erceg
36.6%
Luinder Avila
35.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lucas Erceg
4.6%
Luinder Avila
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lucas Erceg
.334
Luinder Avila
.339
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lucas Erceg
3.647.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
4.41
Luinder Avila
3.647.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.44
4.51
WHIPlower is better
Lucas Erceg
1.372.08
now 1.92
1.62
Luinder Avila
1.372.08
now 1.71
1.53

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lucas Erceg
4035
now 18
0
Luinder Avila
4035
now 25
0
Winshigher is better
Lucas Erceg
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Luinder Avila
.0004.20
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellLuinder Avila — hold.conf 0.60
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