MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Portrait of Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila
KC · P
Change to
Matt Svanson
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Luinder Avila wins 1 (ERA); Matt Svanson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luinder Avila
96.1
Matt Svanson
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
10.1%
Matt Svanson
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
19.7%
Matt Svanson
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luinder Avila
26.9%
Matt Svanson
25.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luinder Avila
35.3%
Matt Svanson
44.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luinder Avila
5.9%
Matt Svanson
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luinder Avila
.339
Matt Svanson
.369
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luinder Avila
2.718.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.44
4.51
Matt Svanson
2.718.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.77
5.21
WHIPlower is better
Luinder Avila
1.222.16
now 1.71
1.53
Matt Svanson
1.222.16
now 1.95
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luinder Avila
4036.40
now 25
0
Matt Svanson
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Luinder Avila
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Matt Svanson
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellLuinder Avila — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellMatt Svanson — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet