MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Pete Fairbanks
Pete Fairbanks
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Pete Fairbanks.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Lucas Erceg’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Pete Fairbanks wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Lucas Erceg wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lucas Erceg
97.1
Pete Fairbanks
97.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lucas Erceg
9.8%
Pete Fairbanks
13.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lucas Erceg
15.1%
Pete Fairbanks
30.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lucas Erceg
28.2%
Pete Fairbanks
33.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lucas Erceg
39.1%
Pete Fairbanks
44.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lucas Erceg
5.3%
Pete Fairbanks
13.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lucas Erceg
.336
Pete Fairbanks
.333
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lucas Erceg
2.368.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
Pete Fairbanks
2.368.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.04
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Lucas Erceg
.9702.19
now 1.92
1.25
Pete Fairbanks
.9702.19
now 1.30
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lucas Erceg
4027.60
now 18
16
Pete Fairbanks
4027.60
now 22
19
Winshigher is better
Lucas Erceg
.2003.80
now 3
13
Pete Fairbanks
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Lucas Erceg
1.2013.80
now 11
510
Pete Fairbanks
1.2013.80
now 6
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seePete Fairbanks — hold.conf 0.50
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