Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryRichie
1HR →4
44R ←40
35RBI →38
8SB →16
.296AVG ←.224
Current Season
LuisCategoryRichie
2HR ←1
29R ←18
23RBI ←17
5SB →7
.321AVG ←.248
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Arraez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.310 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Richie Palacios
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.308)
Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 44 R. Richie Palacios: 4 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).