MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Portrait of Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SF · 2B
Change to
Portrait of Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COL · 2B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Luis Arraez wins 1 (AVG); Willi Castro wins 1 (HR); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Luis Arraez
87.3
Willi Castro
88.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Luis Arraez
22.2%
Willi Castro
41.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Luis Arraez
0.3%
Willi Castro
5.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Luis Arraez
33.3%
Willi Castro
36.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Luis Arraez
4.2%
Willi Castro
15.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Luis Arraez
.304
Willi Castro
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Luis Arraez
.210.350
lg AVG .295
now .321
.291
Willi Castro
.210.350
lg AVG .295
now .262
.245

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Luis Arraez
56.60
now 2
1
Willi Castro
56.60
now 2
5
Runshigher is better
Luis Arraez
20.8034.20
now 29
31
Willi Castro
20.8034.20
now 24
31
RBIhigher is better
Luis Arraez
2028.20
now 23
25
Willi Castro
2028.20
now 19
25
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Luis Arraez
2.806.20
now 5
5
Willi Castro
2.806.20
now 4
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellLuis Arraez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyWilli Castro — hold.conf 0.60
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