Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryMichael
14HR →18
42R →47
59RBI →60
2SB →5
.237AVG →.295
Current Season
LukeCategoryMichael
13HR13
22R →28
31RBI →36
1SB →3
.276AVG →.307
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Michael Harris II
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.391, +0.076 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Luke Raley projects 14 HR / .237 AVG vs Michael Harris II's 18 HR / .295 AVG — the 58-point AVG gap outweighs the 4-HR edge for all league formats.