Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryMiguel
14HR →15
42R →69
59RBI59
2SB →14
.237AVG ←.227
Current Season
LukeCategoryMiguel
13HR →15
22R →44
31RBI →38
1SB →9
.276AVG ←.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.394, +0.079 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Luke Raley: 14 HR / 42 R. Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 69 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).