Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryTyler
40K ←36
3.67ERA3.67
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–3
0SV →1–6
Current Season
LukeCategoryTyler
25K ←21
2.77ERA ←3.12
1.04WHIP ←1.38
2W ←1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Alexander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.12)
Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Tyler Alexander: 36 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).