Rest of Season Projection
MaikelCategoryZack
6HR →10
42R →43
32RBI →39
6SB →12
.278AVG ←.228
Current Season
MaikelCategoryZack
3HR →6
28R ←21
21RBI ←19
4SB →6
.268AVG ←.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Maikel Garcia
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
Zack Gelof
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.320 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.294 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Maikel Garcia: 6 HR / 42 R. Zack Gelof: 10 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).