Rest of Season Projection
MarkCategoryMitchell
35K →38
3.72ERA ←3.79
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →2–4
4–7SV ←1–2
Current Season
MarkCategoryMitchell
25K →26
5.47ERA →5.28
1.46WHIP →1.17
0W →2
4SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mark Leiter Jr.
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.12 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.354 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Mitchell Parker
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.82)
Mark Leiter Jr.: 35 K / 3.72 ERA. Mitchell Parker: 38 K / 3.79 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).