Rest of Season Projection
MarkCategoryScott
41K →43
3.72ERA3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.26
0–0W →1–2
4–8SV ←1–6
Current Season
MarkCategoryScott
25K ←22
5.47ERA →3.08
1.46WHIP →0.99
0W →1
4SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mark Leiter Jr.
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Scott Barlow
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.153 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.00 is 0.46 above the ERA — regression coming
Mark Leiter Jr.: 41 K / 3.72 ERA. Scott Barlow: 43 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).