MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael Petersen
Michael Petersen
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Festa.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Michael Petersen’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Festa wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Michael Petersen wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.6
Michael Petersen
97.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
13.5%
Michael Petersen
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
24.7%
Michael Petersen
28.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
30.8%
Michael Petersen
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
40.8%
Michael Petersen
41.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
8.0%
Michael Petersen
10.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.303
Michael Petersen
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
2.875.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.79
Michael Petersen
2.875.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.63
3.39
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
1.051.37
now 1.24
1.26
Michael Petersen
1.051.37
now 1.12
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4036.20
now 27
5
Michael Petersen
4036.20
now 23
4
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
00
Michael Petersen
.0001.48
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60
BuyMichael Petersen — buy.conf 0.81
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