MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Mike Paredes
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Mike Paredes.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Matt Festa’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Mike Paredes wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Festa wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.5
Mike Paredes
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
13.2%
Mike Paredes
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
25.4%
Mike Paredes
12.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
29.8%
Mike Paredes
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
40.7%
Mike Paredes
50.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
8.9%
Mike Paredes
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.315
Mike Paredes
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
25.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.99
Mike Paredes
25.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
1.171.43
now 1.24
1.25
Mike Paredes
1.171.43
now 1.36
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4036.60
now 27
16
Mike Paredes
4036.60
now 3
25
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
01
Mike Paredes
.0001.48
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0002.40
now 1
01
Mike Paredes
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighMike Paredes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.75
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