Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryTy
39K →55
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
MattCategoryTy
27K ←16
4.68ERA →3.07
1.24WHIP →0.95
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Festa
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.37)
Ty Madden
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.00 is 0.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Festa: 39 K / 3.69 ERA. Ty Madden: 55 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).