MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tim Mayza.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Matt Gage’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tim Mayza wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Gage wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Gage
92.2
Tim Mayza
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
11.6%
Tim Mayza
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
17.5%
Tim Mayza
24.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Gage
34.1%
Tim Mayza
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
31.4%
Tim Mayza
44.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
10.5%
Tim Mayza
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Gage
.352
Tim Mayza
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Gage
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
Tim Mayza
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
3.33
WHIPlower is better
Matt Gage
.9001.41
now 1.29
1.26
Tim Mayza
.9001.41
now 0.99
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Gage
4031.60
now 19
13
Tim Mayza
4031.60
now 26
15
Winshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0005.60
now 4
14
Tim Mayza
.0005.60
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0002.40
now 1
01
Tim Mayza
.0002.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
BuyTim Mayza — buy.conf 0.83
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