Who's more valuable, rest of season
José Alvarado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves. Matt Gage’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
◀
SV
José Alvarado wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Matt Gage wins 1 (W).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.4
Matt Gage
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.5%
Matt Gage
11.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
26.8%
Matt Gage
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
36.6%
Matt Gage
34.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
30.8%
Matt Gage
29.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
3.8%
Matt Gage
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.310
Matt Gage
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
26.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Matt Gage
26.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.72
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
Matt Gage
1.012.04
now 1.29
1.25
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4051.20
now 26
42
Matt Gage
4051.20
now 19
26
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.00010.80
now 1
1–2
Matt Gage
.00010.80
now 4
3–8
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
1–3
Matt Gage
.0004.40
now 1
1–2
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighMatt Gage — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82