Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryReynaldo
42K →55
3.70ERA ←3.85
1.24WHIP ←1.27
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
MattCategoryReynaldo
17K →31
3.86ERA →3.31
1.29WHIP ←1.33
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Strahm
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.98)
Reynaldo López
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.78 is 1.47 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Strahm: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Reynaldo López: 55 K / 3.85 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).