Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryTaylor
42K ←30
3.70ERA →3.66
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
MattCategoryTaylor
17K ←12
3.86ERA →1.80
1.29WHIP →0.68
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Strahm
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.98)
Taylor Clarke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.176 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.91 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Strahm: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Taylor Clarke: 30 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).