MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Matt Strahm
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Strahm wins 2 (K, WHIP); Tyler Alexander wins 2 (ERA, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Strahm
91.2
Tyler Alexander
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
11.2%
Tyler Alexander
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
16.8%
Tyler Alexander
19.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
29.7%
Tyler Alexander
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Strahm
40.2%
Tyler Alexander
33.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Strahm
8.0%
Tyler Alexander
2.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Strahm
.298
Tyler Alexander
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Strahm
2.824.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.86
3.70
Tyler Alexander
2.824.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.66
WHIPlower is better
Matt Strahm
1.171.45
now 1.29
1.24
Tyler Alexander
1.171.45
now 1.38
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Strahm
4042.20
now 17
35
Tyler Alexander
4042.20
now 21
22
Winshigher is better
Matt Strahm
.5202.48
now 1
12
Tyler Alexander
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Matt Strahm
.0005.60
now 0
0
Tyler Alexander
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Strahm — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
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