MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Daniel Lynch IV
Daniel Lynch IV
KC · P
Change to
Matt Strahm
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Daniel Lynch IV wins 1 (SV); Matt Strahm wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
94.8
Matt Strahm
91.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
14.0%
Matt Strahm
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
21.4%
Matt Strahm
16.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
31.5%
Matt Strahm
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
34.0%
Matt Strahm
40.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
5.2%
Matt Strahm
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
.284
Matt Strahm
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Daniel Lynch IV
24.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.93
3.69
Matt Strahm
24.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.86
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.9001.41
now 0.99
1.24
Matt Strahm
.9001.41
now 1.29
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
4042.20
now 27
29
Matt Strahm
4042.20
now 17
35
Winshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.5202.48
now 1
12
Matt Strahm
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.0003.40
now 1
02
Matt Strahm
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDaniel Lynch IV — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
Hold · wait & seeMatt Strahm — hold.conf 0.50
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