MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 20, 2026
Portrait of Daniel Lynch IV
Daniel Lynch IV
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Festa.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Daniel Lynch IV’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Festa wins 1 categories (K); Daniel Lynch IV wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
94.7
Matt Festa
92.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
15.0%
Matt Festa
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
23.6%
Matt Festa
25.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
31.6%
Matt Festa
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
34.5%
Matt Festa
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
6.0%
Matt Festa
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
.276
Matt Festa
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Daniel Lynch IV
25.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.93
3.68
Matt Festa
25.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.9001.34
now 0.99
1.24
Matt Festa
.9001.34
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
4040.60
now 27
33
Matt Festa
4040.60
now 27
35
Winshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.5202.48
now 1
12
Matt Festa
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.0003.40
now 1
12
Matt Festa
.0003.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDaniel Lynch IV — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.73
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
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