Rest of Season Projection
DanielCategoryRyan
35K ←29
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
DanielCategoryRyan
27K ←12
1.93ERA ←2.75
0.99WHIP ←1.17
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.241 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.81 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.36 is 0.61 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Daniel Lynch IV: 35 K / 3.67 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).