Rest of Season Projection
ErikCategoryRyan
45K ←29
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →2–6
2–8SV ←0
Current Season
ErikCategoryRyan
24K ←12
4.41ERA →2.75
1.41WHIP →1.17
0W →2
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erik Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.23)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.36 is 0.61 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Erik Miller: 45 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).