Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryRyan
35K ←29
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryRyan
23K ←12
3.63ERA →2.75
1.12WHIP ←1.17
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Petersen
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.28)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.36 is 0.61 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael Petersen: 35 K / 3.69 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).