Rest of Season Projection
CamiloCategoryRyan
34K ←26
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
CamiloCategoryRyan
17K ←12
5.06ERA →2.75
1.03WHIP ←1.17
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Camilo Doval
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.59)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.68 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Camilo Doval: 34 K / 3.69 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).