Rest of Season Projection
RyanCategoryTyler
29K →31
3.70ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–6W ←1–2
0SV →2–4
Current Season
RyanCategoryTyler
12K →16
2.75ERA →2.36
1.17WHIP →1.13
2W ←1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.36 is 0.61 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Rogers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.30)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Thompson: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Tyler Rogers: 31 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).