Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryRyan
38K ←29
3.69ERA3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryRyan
20K ←12
4.18ERA →2.75
1.52WHIP →1.17
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.355 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.36 is 0.61 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Morris projects for 38 K/3.69 ERA vs Thompson's 29 K/3.70 ERA. The K edge and divergent verdicts—buy-low versus sell-high—drive the decision.