Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryOrlando
37K ←25
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV →2–7
Current Season
MattCategoryOrlando
27K ←12
4.68ERA →1.72
1.24WHIP →0.89
1W ←0
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Festa
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.61)
Orlando Ribalta
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.204 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.85 is 1.05 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Festa: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Orlando Ribalta: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).