MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Orlando Ribalta
Orlando Ribalta
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Orlando Ribalta wins 1 (SV); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Orlando Ribalta
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.1%
Orlando Ribalta
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.4%
Orlando Ribalta
20.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.9%
Orlando Ribalta
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
35.1%
Orlando Ribalta
33.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
3.5%
Orlando Ribalta
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.290
Orlando Ribalta
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Orlando Ribalta
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.72
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Orlando Ribalta
.9001.50
now 0.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4036.80
now 6
28
Orlando Ribalta
4036.80
now 12
14
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.000.480
now 0
00
Orlando Ribalta
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0005.60
now 0
0
Orlando Ribalta
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeOrlando Ribalta — hold.conf 0.50
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