Who's more valuable, rest of season
Caleb Ferguson.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Matt Festa’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV
▶
Caleb Ferguson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Festa wins 2 (W, SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Matt Festa
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.0%
Matt Festa
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
20.2%
Matt Festa
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.0%
Matt Festa
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
32.0%
Matt Festa
41.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.0%
Matt Festa
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.290
Matt Festa
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
26.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Matt Festa
26.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
4.02
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.52
now 0.60
1.24
Matt Festa
.9001.52
now 1.24
1.26
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4035.40
now 6
23
Matt Festa
4035.40
now 27
17
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
0–1
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.40
now 0
0
Matt Festa
.0002.40
now 1
0–1
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCaleb Ferguson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
Hold · steadyMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.60