MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Hoby Milner
Hoby Milner
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Ferguson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Hoby Milner’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Ferguson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Hoby Milner wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Hoby Milner
87.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.5%
Hoby Milner
7.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
21.3%
Hoby Milner
12.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.7%
Hoby Milner
28.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Hoby Milner
37.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.8%
Hoby Milner
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.296
Hoby Milner
.351
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Hoby Milner
25.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.49
3.78
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.51
now 0.60
1.24
Hoby Milner
.9001.51
now 1.03
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4034
now 6
26
Hoby Milner
4034
now 12
13
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0001.48
now 0
00
Hoby Milner
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.40
now 0
0
Hoby Milner
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighHoby Milner — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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