MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Chris Martin
Chris Martin
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Chris Martin wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Chris Martin
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.5%
Chris Martin
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
21.3%
Chris Martin
13.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.7%
Chris Martin
32.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Chris Martin
44.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.8%
Chris Martin
11.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.296
Chris Martin
.408
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Chris Martin
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.84
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9002.48
now 0.60
1.24
Chris Martin
.9002.48
now 1.94
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4034
now 6
26
Chris Martin
4034
now 7
17
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Chris Martin
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeChris Martin — hold.conf 0.55
Tweet