MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Jakob Junis
Jakob Junis
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Jakob Junis wins 1 (SV); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Jakob Junis
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.3%
Jakob Junis
9.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.0%
Jakob Junis
19.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
32.2%
Jakob Junis
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.4%
Jakob Junis
33.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.9%
Jakob Junis
3.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.297
Jakob Junis
.301
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Jakob Junis
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Jakob Junis
.9001.50
now 0.78
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4036.80
now 6
28
Jakob Junis
4036.80
now 16
14
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.000.480
now 0
00
Jakob Junis
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0004.40
now 0
0
Jakob Junis
.0004.40
now 3
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighJakob Junis — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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