MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 8, 2026
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Boyd wins 2 (K, WHIP); Stephen Kolek wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Stephen Kolek
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
11.6%
Stephen Kolek
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
20.9%
Stephen Kolek
15.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
33.4%
Stephen Kolek
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
38.8%
Stephen Kolek
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
9.8%
Stephen Kolek
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
.329
Stephen Kolek
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matthew Boyd
2.477.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.41
Stephen Kolek
2.477.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.82
WHIPlower is better
Matthew Boyd
.9001.47
now 1.29
1.30
Stephen Kolek
.9001.47
now 0.94
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matthew Boyd
4054
now 31
44
Stephen Kolek
4054
now 19
24
Winshigher is better
Matthew Boyd
.8006.20
now 2
24
Stephen Kolek
.8006.20
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMatthew Boyd — sell.conf 0.69
Hold · leans buyStephen Kolek — hold.conf 0.60
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