MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Boyd wins 2 (K, WHIP); Stephen Kolek wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
92.5
Stephen Kolek
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
15.8%
Stephen Kolek
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
31.0%
Stephen Kolek
17.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
37.7%
Stephen Kolek
26.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
50.8%
Stephen Kolek
38.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
9.5%
Stephen Kolek
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
.322
Stephen Kolek
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matthew Boyd
2.477.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.11
Stephen Kolek
2.477.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
4.03
WHIPlower is better
Matthew Boyd
.9001.44
now 1.29
1.29
Stephen Kolek
.9001.44
now 0.94
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matthew Boyd
4096
now 31
74
Stephen Kolek
4096
now 19
47
Winshigher is better
Matthew Boyd
.00014.60
now 2
48
Stephen Kolek
.00014.60
now 3
511

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowMatthew Boyd — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighStephen Kolek — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.84
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