Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryRanger
98K98
3.95ERA →3.61
1.32WHIP →1.30
4–9W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryRanger
65K ←57
3.23ERA ←3.38
1.12WHIP ←1.16
4W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.95 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Ranger Suarez
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.61, 0.49 below league — production is earned
Michael Wacha: 98 K / 3.95 ERA. Ranger Suarez: 98 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).