Rest of Season Projection
MiguelCategoryTristan
15HR ←11
67R ←28
58RBI →59
14SB ←3
.229AVG →.239
Current Season
MiguelCategoryTristan
15HR ←4
44R ←11
38RBI ←23
9SB ←1
.241AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Tristan Gray
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.305)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Tristan Gray: 11 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).