MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Nathan Church
STL · CF
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Freeman
Tyler Freeman
COL · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Tyler Freeman wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Nathan Church
85.9
Tyler Freeman
87.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Nathan Church
31.7%
Tyler Freeman
34.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Nathan Church
7.9%
Tyler Freeman
1.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Nathan Church
44.8%
Tyler Freeman
30.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Nathan Church
13.0%
Tyler Freeman
6.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Nathan Church
.282
Tyler Freeman
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Nathan Church
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .260
.223
Tyler Freeman
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .278
.255

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Nathan Church
56.60
now 5
3
Tyler Freeman
56.60
now 2
1
Runshigher is better
Nathan Church
2022.20
now 18
19
Tyler Freeman
2022.20
now 15
17
RBIhigher is better
Nathan Church
2022.20
now 18
19
Tyler Freeman
2022.20
now 15
17
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Nathan Church
2.807.20
now 4
4
Tyler Freeman
2.807.20
now 5
6
If you already own them — trade angle
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.62
Hold · steadyTyler Freeman — hold.conf 0.60
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