MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan Eovaldi
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Nathan Eovaldi wins 2 (WHIP, W); Payton Tolle wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nathan Eovaldi
94.5
Payton Tolle
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nathan Eovaldi
15.6%
Payton Tolle
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nathan Eovaldi
24.4%
Payton Tolle
24.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nathan Eovaldi
36.1%
Payton Tolle
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nathan Eovaldi
38.0%
Payton Tolle
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nathan Eovaldi
8.1%
Payton Tolle
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nathan Eovaldi
.312
Payton Tolle
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nathan Eovaldi
2.044.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.93
4.03
Payton Tolle
2.044.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
3.18
WHIPlower is better
Nathan Eovaldi
.9001.39
now 1.11
1.19
Payton Tolle
.9001.39
now 0.90
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nathan Eovaldi
4090.80
now 67
70
Payton Tolle
4090.80
now 46
78
Winshigher is better
Nathan Eovaldi
.00010.40
now 5
48
Payton Tolle
.00010.40
now 2
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyNathan Eovaldi — hold.conf 0.60
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.88
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