Rest of Season Projection
NathanCategoryShane
99K99
4.20ERA →3.63
1.19WHIP ←1.30
5–11W →7–15
0SV0
Current Season
NathanCategoryShane
67K ←53
3.93ERA →2.45
1.11WHIP →1.02
5W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nathan Eovaldi
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.26)
Shane McClanahan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.63 is 0.78 above the ERA — regression coming
Nathan Eovaldi: 99 K / 4.20 ERA. Shane McClanahan: 99 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).