MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Shane McClanahan
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Shane McClanahan

TB·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

McClanahan is a sell-high — BABIP is masking the real ERA.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.95

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.57 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.9%
39.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL148 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.5%
9.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL148 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.300
.300
lg avg .315 ▼−.015trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL222 / 200 TBF
xERA3.57
3.57
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.53trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL222 / 200 TBF
ERA2.46
2.46
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.64too early to trust
NOISE55 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.9%
23.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL222 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.6%
8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL222 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.240
.240
lg avg .295 ▼−.055too early to trust
NOISE148 / 800 BIP