MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Tatsuya Imai
Tatsuya Imai
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nick Lodolo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Tatsuya Imai’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Nick Lodolo wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Tatsuya Imai wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
94.1
Tatsuya Imai
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
9.6%
Tatsuya Imai
13.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
17.9%
Tatsuya Imai
27.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
29.7%
Tatsuya Imai
27.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
39.3%
Tatsuya Imai
45.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
7.9%
Tatsuya Imai
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
.374
Tatsuya Imai
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nick Lodolo
4.415.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.41
Tatsuya Imai
4.415.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.52
4.73
WHIPlower is better
Nick Lodolo
1.291.51
now 1.37
1.42
Tatsuya Imai
1.291.51
now 1.36
1.44

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nick Lodolo
4062.60
now 22
51
Tatsuya Imai
4062.60
now 28
44
Winshigher is better
Nick Lodolo
.8006.20
now 2
35
Tatsuya Imai
.8006.20
now 2
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
SellTatsuya Imai — sell.conf 0.84
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