MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIA · RF
Change to
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Owen Caissie.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and steals. Ryan O'Hearn’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Owen Caissie wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, SB); Ryan O'Hearn wins 2 (R, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Owen Caissie
91.8
Ryan O'Hearn
89.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Owen Caissie
48.1%
Ryan O'Hearn
44.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Owen Caissie
16.3%
Ryan O'Hearn
7.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Owen Caissie
30.1%
Ryan O'Hearn
32.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Owen Caissie
17.1%
Ryan O'Hearn
10.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Owen Caissie
.309
Ryan O'Hearn
.330
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Owen Caissie
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .234
.208
Ryan O'Hearn
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .294
.249

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Owen Caissie
59.60
now 5
8
Ryan O'Hearn
59.60
now 8
4
Runshigher is better
Owen Caissie
2036.60
now 17
20
Ryan O'Hearn
2036.60
now 28
31
RBIhigher is better
Owen Caissie
26.8038.20
now 30
35
Ryan O'Hearn
26.8038.20
now 30
33
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Owen Caissie
.0004.20
now 3
3
Ryan O'Hearn
.0004.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyOwen Caissie — hold.conf 0.60
BuyRyan O'Hearn — buy.conf 0.63
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